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"Region Divided On Senate; Aexnidaral Poised To Win Goldenblock"Written by HEM
Editor-In-Chief
In a flash poll lasting less than 24 hours, The E-News Network polled 35 citizens of Europeia about their views on the Senate, the upcoming Presidential race, and the administration of Discord.
This poll was launched at a relatively divisive period in Europeia history, with citizens complaining of old vs. new divides — though many have also pointed out that these divides go beyond just the "age" of citizens.
The Senate
In terms of the Senate, the region is almost divided in half. 51.4% of the region either approves or strongly approves of the current work of the Senate — the vast majority merely "approving." On the other hand, 48.6% of the region disapproves or strongly disapproves of the Senate's work. While only 5.7% of the region strongly approves of the Senate, 22.9% strongly disapprove.
So when the issue turns to recall, the results are very unsurprising. Those who approve of the work of the Senate (51.4%) either lean against recall, or are strongly against recall. Those who disapprove of the Senate (48.6%) either lean toward recall, or are strongly for recall. The numbers translate over perfectly.
However, the advantage those against recall have, is in the sheer strength of their support.
That is to say, roughly the same number of people "lean toward recall" as are "absolutely against recall." 31.4% of the population seems fairly immovable in their opposition to recall while only 14.3% of people have the same level of fervor for removing the Senate.
While the top-sheet result shows an extremely close referendum on the Senate's fate, opponents of recall have a much stronger base than those who might seek to force new elections.
ENN Commentator Leo Drakan added, "So, glancing at this, Europeia is rather torn between approval of the senate and not approving. This could be for many reasons such as disapproval of the EPP, disapproval of the inactivity and drama."
While Cpt. Carrot commented that the polls shows an "interesting levels of approval, given the vocal criticism of the activity from the senate and some of the negative predictions early on. Quite a divide in opinion."
"It's interesting to see those who would lead either direction but aren't strongly supporting either side. Recall or don't recall. The region simply doesn't know what to think of the senate yet, they haven't done anything too good or too bad," Minister of Radio Cat added on the results.
Presidential Elections
With only weeks until the start of Presidential campaigning, Aexnidaral Seymour is citizen to beat. It has been the worst kept secret in Europeia that Aexnidaral has aspirations to succeed his boss, and the groundwork he has set for his bid appears to have paid off.
When pit against Trinnien, Aexnidaral has a 20 point lead against the former President. Trinnien has become more of a polarizing figure in Europeia lately, becoming a leading face for the "old guard" even though he is relatively new to the region himself.
"I'm not too surprised by the results. After Trinn's previous term as president I can see why they would lean towards Aex more." Cat told ENN.
Minister of Interior Calvin Coolidge fares even worse, with Aexnidaral retaining his 45.7% "strong" support and peeling away some "leaners."
ENN Commentator Leo Drakan commented on how unsurprising he thought the results were: "Well, this isn't shocking either. After seeing how Calvin has been acting as of late with his senate campaign, it is not shocking they would go with Aex :/"
Rising star Pichtonia attracts a reasonable amount of support from Europeians, but surprisingly, fares only a little worse than the other older names.
The next two are potential darkhorse candidates — Rach and HEM — but have a very similar effect on the polling. They manage to scuttle much of Aex's base out of the "strongly" position and toward the "lean" position. The question would be whether either of them could grab those voters over the course of a campaign:
Grand Admiral Kraketopia, while the winner of numerous past Presidential campaigns, has been less active this term and it shows in his numbers:
A three-way race, predictably, pushes much of Aexnidaral's supporters into the "lean" category, but he remains the overwhelming favorite.
The only person to come out ahead of Aexnidaral is current President Writinglegend. Writinglegend is actively not expected to seek another term, but has not formally announced his intentions.
Clearly, before the Presidential race even begins, Aexnidaral is out in front. ENN's Political Panel talked about this issue:
Hyanygo: "Aex's presidency is a conclusion that at least 5 old timers have had to just deal with. I don't think he's done himself any favours though by poor performance after poor performance. Older members can cut through the reality distortion field and see a poor presidency a mile off. Much like every other poor presidency has been easily, easily, predicted by experienced members."
Cpt. Carrot: "Aex has put a great deal of energy into his interactions within in the region, whereas Calvin is more reserved and Trinn frequently comes across as stern and unapproachable. While Calvin and Trinn are former Presidents, their terms didn't end on high notes."
Hyanygo: Yes, interactions with people. He hasn't been particularly stellar in the business of government. And @CptCarrot 's comments are exactly the confusion that older members (~5) are concerned about.
Confusing mere social contact with project delivery.
It seems his distortion field works, even when its pointed out! His social contact is a necessary but not sufficient virtue for the Presidency.
Cpt. Carrot: "Yes and I have a fair few experiences with experienced members who weren't particularly good at delivering yet got praised for what they did. social interaction and personal relations have always played a role. I'm not commenting on whether they are right or wrong I'm simply saying they exist here, it's a factor in the results on the poll."
Hyanygo: "There appears to be ~12 or so people that do not want Aex.
Across the board. I don't think in these X vs Aex match ups you have a candidate that is so convincing that it makes the respondent switch from the non-Aex camp to the Aex camp.
There just appears to be re-distribution within each camp at each matchup. But I need to see the raw data for that."
HEM: "I think Rach and I push quite a few people out of the "strongly" into the "lean" Aex position, which is interesting. Would those people vote for either of us ultimately? I dunno."
Hyanygo: "I don't really think we should break it down that finely.This means that most people have quite made up their mind which is a massive, massive, disappointment for election season. The premier event is going to be boring AF."
Cpt. Carrot: "It would be nice to have a hotly contested election, we haven't had a good race in quite a while."
Hyanygo: "We used to rely on the presidential election to push forward the urgent and longstanding debates about our region. Now we're destined to have a coronation with little hope of convincing either side to switch entirely.
And this is a result of the saccarachine politics, a rot, that has infected Europeian discourse. I don't think I've seen so much latin on the forum in the form of 'Wahhhhh someone someone something ad homenim'.
It'll be interesting to see Aex's responses to my comments as another experienced member recently put it to me: 'Aex will ultimately just take any critique as an attack'."
Leo Drakan: "I personally do not see that. He is quite a calm person and he can take critique from what I have seen."
Hyanygo: "He's got posts that he thinks he's made privately but are available for some reason publically, on the forums which illustrate otherwise."
Cpt. Carrot: "Put this forth as a social member as someone whose existence is mainly getting to know people. Someone reacting pettily to criticism is kind of a misleading variable, half of the people I've chatted to, including lauded members, have spouted some of the worst reactions to slight criticism I have seen.
We are at a conflux of egos and groups. distortion fields exist for everyone. we are all human... most of us anyway. Aex does have an issue with reacting to negative comments, I've been at loggerheads with him on multiple occassions. He does however try to curtail those from time to time, certainly he has done a lot of maturing in regards to that, I'd still like to see more.
However my neutrality in social circles has let me see some extraordinary backbiting and venom in back rooms. I have been laughing this whole term from the sheer volume of hypocrisy that most members that I have contact with have displayed. no one is infallible. I am under no illusion that anyone is immune from it. I will never say that personal relationships taking precedence over the good of the region is acceptable, people have to accept that if it's wrong for one group it's wrong for them too."
Discord + Political Affiliation
When asking about Discord, the region is likewise divided. While essentially nobody is in favor of giving the government of Europeia full control of Discord, a thin plurality favor a partnership between the government and admins.
This will surely be an issue that is debate into the future. ENN's coverage of the Senate and Presidential race will continue into the next month.
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