Raw Data | ||
---|---|---|
Date | Senate Size | By-Elections (Individual Seats) |
14-Apr | 6 | 0 |
14-Jan | 6 | 1 (1) |
13-Dec | 6 | 0 (0) |
13-Sep | 6 | 1 (2) |
13-Jul | 5 | 0 |
13-Apr | 5 | 1 (2) |
13-Feb | 5 | 0 |
12-Dec | 5 | 2 (2) |
12-Nov | 6 | 1 (1) |
12-Aug | 6 | 2 (2) |
12-Jul | 6 | 1 (1) |
12-Jun | 6 | 1 (1) |
12-Apr | 7 | 1 (1) |
12-Feb | 7 | 1 (3) |
11-Dec | 6 | 2 (2) |
11-Oct | 6 | 3 (4) |
11-Aug | 6 | 3 (3) |
11-Jun | 6 | 2 (3) |
11-Apr | 8 | 2 (3) |
11-Feb | 6 | 3 (6) |
10-Dec | 8 | 1 (2) |
10-Oct | 8 | 3 (4) |
10-Aug | 8 | 2 (3) |
10-Jun | 10 | 1 (2) |
10-Apr | 10 | 2 (2) |
10-Feb | 9 | 2 (2) |
09-Dec | 9 | 1 (1) |
09-Nov | 9 | 0 |
09-Sep | 9 | 2 (2) |
09-Jul | 8 | 1 (2) |
09-May | 8 | 1 (1) |
09-Mar | 8 | 3 (4) |
09-Jan | 8 | 1 (1) |
08-Nov | 8 | 0 |
08-Sep | 8 | 1 (1) |
08-Jul | 7 | 1 (1) |
08-May | 7 | 1 (1) |
08-Mar | 7 | 0 |
08-Jan | 7 | 3 (5) |
07-Nov | 7 | 1 (1) |
07-Sep | 7 | 1 (1) |
07-Aug | 7 | 1 (2) |
07-Jul | 5 | 0 |
07-Jul | 5 | 1 (1) |
Europeia has had many Senate By-Elections. In fact, the very first Senate even had a by-election. For this raw data, I've gone back and looked at every single Senate By-Election for every term. The number outside the parenthesis is how many By-Elections there were and the number in the parenthesis is how many seats were replaced. Unfortunately this does not give us the entire story when it comes to resignations and inactivity. Sometimes seats become available so close to the general election that a by-election is not run. To get that data would be extremely difficult. Secondly, different terms have had different levels of activism when it came to activity.
However, it does give us some idea on the amount of turnover in the Senate over it's history.
Number of By-Elections | # Terms | Percentage out of all the terms |
0 | 8 | 18.1% |
1 | 21 | 47.7% |
2 | 9 | 20.4% |
3 | 6 | 13.6% |
Treating all terms as equal, you have just over half chance of having one senate by-election during any given senate term. There is an 81.9% chance that the term will have at least one by-election. Not the greatest method for this but pretty fun.
Number of Seats Available | # Terms | Percentage out of all the terms |
0 | 8 | 18.1% |
1 | 14 | 31.8% |
2 | 12 | 27.2% |
3 | 5 | 11.3% |
4 | 3 | 6.8% |
5 | 1 | 2.2% |
6 | 1 | 2.2% |
A little bit different, this looks at the number of seats available during by-elections during a senate term. We've only had 5 & 6 once. The chance of having 4 or more seats available is 11.2% if you treat all terms as equal.
Size of the Senate | Terms of that Senate size | Number of By-Elections | Average Number of By-Elections |
5 | 6 | 4 | 0.66 |
6 | 13 | 20 | 1.54 |
7 | 9 | 10 | 1.43 |
8 | 10 | 15 | 1.5 |
9 | 4 | 5 | 1.25 |
10 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 |
For many of these, it's also a question as to the political activity at the time. Many of these are very small sample sizes. However, most seem to be in a similar range with the exception of having a 5 person senate which had the lowest amount of by-elections by far.
Size of the Senate | Terms of that Senate size | Number of Seats Available in By-Elections | Average Number of Seats Available |
5 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
6 | 13 | 26 | 2 |
7 | 9 | 15 | 1.66 |
8 | 10 | 21 | 2.1 |
9 | 4 | 5 | 1.25 |
10 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
No real changes here. There doesn't seem to be a clear increase in Senate turnover based on the sample sizes with the exception of the 5. However, what we aren't taking into account is the amount of political activity at the time and the standard to which the senate was held. For example, when we had 5 senators these were generally eras of more book keeping and less political activity in general. Could that be a reason why the turnover was lower? As well... it's a larger percentage of the Senate size when even 1 member goes inactive or resigns.
A Sad Reminder
How cool would it be to look at the Ministry turnover over time? Unfortunately, records like these aren't kept in their own place. Looking for them would be a really difficult task. So a lot of these sorts of stats remain out our reach because of a lack of book-keeping (but who can blame the book keepers really). However, I'm trying to collect the posting stats by month of Europeia during it's history. I'm hoping to compare them to the Senate Sizes which could be interesting. Hope you all enjoyed this!
Fun Facts
- The Senate term of Feb 2011 had a by-election in which 3 Senators were replaced. The largest single by-election in terms of seats replacing.
- May 30th 2010 was the last election titled "By-Election: Senate"
- October 25th 2009 Senate By-Election had 7 people running for 1 seat. Fliyan was on the ballot despite being banned and this was noted on the ballot. Strangely the previous by-election that term had 2 people running for one seat.
- Nov 6th 2007 Senate By-Election had 9 people running for the 1 seat previously held by Lethens wife Paleomiz. The September election for that term had seen 12 people running for 7 seats. Strong interest remained strong?