The Didgeridoo conducted a Presidential pre-standing poll from January 25, 2024 to January 28, 2024. In total, the poll received 29 respondents. What follows are the results of this poll with some analysis and commentary.
Incumbent Reelection

We first asked respondents whether they would support a re-election campaign from the incumbent President, Grea Kriopia. By a wide margin, 82.8% percent of respondents indicated that they believed Grea Kriopia should run for re-election, including almost half of respondents who indicated a non-leaning yes response. When forced to choose between yes or no, the percentage of respondents supporting a re-election campaign increased to 86.2%.
While we are still weeks away from the next election, one thing is abundantly clear: the incumbent President enjoys a significant level of popularity in the electorate and will likely have a head start in the upcoming campaign over any potential challengers.
Hypothetical Matchups

We next asked respondents to indicate their preferred candidate in hypothetical matchups between Grea Kriopia and selected hypothetical candidates. These hypothetical opponents were chosen at the discretion of the pollster under the belief that they were the leading potential candidates for the upcoming election.
In all matchups but one, Grea Kriopia received a majority level of support. The only exception was Sincluda, GK’s current Vice President (GK still received a plurality of support). Perhaps the best piece of news for any challengers is a high level of soft support for GK across the board in many matchups: the share of respondents who indicated “definite” support for GK hovered around 25% in most matchups.
In maybe the most striking result of this question, GK’s former President, upc, received almost no support in a hypothetical matchup between the two while over 80% of respondents indicated a level of support for GK. While upc’s Presidency is regarded as one of the best in Europeian history, there is a clear and decisive level of fatigue among the electorate when it comes to the idea of upc taking up the mantle again in the upcoming election.
HEM checked in with the highest share of respondents indicating that they would “definitely” vote for him in a hypothetical matchup. While the share is still relatively small (17.2%), it is still a significant number that indicates a potential level of strength should HEM decide to run. Together with Ervald and Vor, these three are generally in the best position to run (minus the incumbent VP), with a level of combined support for GK in these matchups under 60%.
Who Should Run?
Rank | Citizen | % | Prev. Rank | Prev. % | Rank Δ | %Δ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Grea Kriopia | 79.3% | 1 | 63% | - | +16.3% |
2 | Sincluda | 75.9% | 5 | 48.1% | +3 | +27.8% |
3 | Ervald | 58.6% | 20 | 29.6% | +17 | +29% |
4 | Andusre | 55.2% | 17 | 33.3% | +13 | +21.9% |
5 | HEM | 51.7% | 20 | 29.6% | +15 | +22.1% |
6 | Vor | 48.3% | 4 | 51.9% | -2 | -3.6% |
7 | PhDre | 44.8% | 6 | 44.4% | -1 | +0.4% |
8 | JayDee | 41.4% | 20 | 29.6% | +12 | +11.8% |
9 | Calvin Coolidge | 37.9% | 6 | 44.4% | -3 | -6.5% |
9 | Gem | 37.9% | - | - | - | - |
9 | Rand | 37.9% | 14 | 37% | +5 | +0.9% |
9 | SkyGreen | 37.9% | 14 | 37% | +5 | +0.9% |
13 | Sopo | 34.5% | 20 | 29.6% | +7 | +4.9% |
14 | Forilian | 31% | 25 | 25.9% | +11 | +5.1% |
14 | Kazaman | 31% | 6 | 44.4% | -8 | -13.4% |
16 | Istillian | 27.6% | 1 | 63% | -15 | -35.4% |
16 | Lloenflys | 27.6% | 6 | 44.4% | -10 | -16.8% |
16 | Maowi | 27.6% | 6 | 44.4% | -10 | -16.8% |
16 | Sanjurika | 27.6% | 17 | 33.3% | +1 | -5.7% |
20 | Prim | 24.1% | 14 | 37% | -6 | -12.9% |
We finally asked respondents to indicate who they believed should run for President in the upcoming election. Presented with a full list of active citizens, respondents were allowed to choose any number of individuals for this question. Based on responses, prospective candidates can be broken into a few tiers:
Tier 1: The Incumbents
- Grea Kriopia (79.3%)
- Sincluda (75.9%)
In an obvious show of incumbent advantage and popularity, the sitting President and Vice President both top the list of potential candidates by a wide margin. Should they choose to run for re-election, GK and Sincluda would likely enter the race with a significant advantage over any challengers.
Tier 2: …But If They Don’t Run?
- Ervald (58.6%)
- Andusre (55.2%)
- HEM (51.7%)
If, however, they choose not to run, who’s next in line? Minister of World Assembly Affairs Ervald leads the charge with the highest share of respondents encouraging him to run beyond the current incumbents. Joining him is a fellow Minister, Andusre (Grand Admiral), and Europeia’s founder, HEM. While still serving as People’s Assembly Chair, HEM has largely been out of Executive government in recent memory, making his performance that much more notable. All three make up the remaining potential candidates who received the support of at least half of respondents.
Tier 3: Dark Horses
- Vor (48.3%)
- PhDre (44.8%)
- JayDee (41.4%)
As we enter this next tier, we look more at the candidates who might run in a more open field (particularly if the incumbents decide not to run). One of those best positioned in hypothetical matchups, Vor, leads the way in this tier and could very well continue to improve his standing in the weeks to come. After recently appearing in the EBC’s Arnhelm 8, PhDre also retains a significant level of potential support for a Presidential run. JayDee also maintains a healthy level of support in the electorate, whose previous Presidency was one of the most consequential in recent memory.
Tier 4: On The Radar
- Calvin Coolidge (37.9%)
- Gem (37.9%)
- Rand (37.9%)
- SkyGreen (37.9%)
- Sopo (34.5%)
While this group enjoyed a lower level of support, the level is likely significant enough that consideration of running for the Presidency would not be out of the question, particularly with a strong campaign and compelling platform. This group in particular comes from all over the place, from Ministers (Gem, Sopo) to former Senators (Calvin Coolidge, Rand) to the Chancellery (SkyGreen). There is also the fact that this tier includes four former Presidents, which likely provides a certain base level of support, particularly given the popularity of many of their administrations.
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While it remains to be seen who will run, one thing is quite clear at this moment: Grea Kriopia enjoys a leg up on any potential challengers. That said, there are certainly still candidates waiting in the wings that, in the right political environment, can certainly make a push for 34 Goldenblock Avenue. With the standing period just a few weeks away, the state of this election will come into focus soon as candidates weigh their options and craft their platforms.
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