To Award or Not to Award

I mean, it was 3 months ago, I forgot about it. :p
 
Euro Weekly has now updated its predictions in light of recent events in the Senate. Based on our updated predictions, Darcness's ovation is now considered a toss-up with the odds of the Senate rejecting the Ovation having increased significantly. Due to the inaccuracy of our original predictions, it should be noted that we have taken a far more conservative approach with our updated predictions. It should also be noted that the "Abstain" category has been removed from the table below, and that Senator Darcness remains the only Senator within this category.

Predictions
Solid AyeLean AyeUnkownLean NayNay
Lloenflys
Calvin Coolidge
Deepest House
Olde Delaware
Rotasu
Sopo
Prim
Peeps


Both Speaker Lloenflys and Senator Calvin Coolidge have reaffirmed their intention to vote "Aye", and both have argued strongly for passing the Ovation. Therefore both Senators remain as "Solid Aye" predictions. Senator Deepest House has taken on a far more questioning role and has appeared, through his language, to be more open to the idea of opposing the Ovation. He has questioned the language of the Awards and Honours Act, asking if Admin work could be considered a civilian act and therefore if the Ovation was an appropriate award for this work. He has also stated, "I don’t want anyone to think that I’ve made a decision one way or the other on this." Therefore we have moved Senator Deepest House into the "Unknown" category as it is unclear how he may vote. Senators Olde Delaware and Rotasu have also been moved into the "Unkown" category. While Senator Rotasu has indicated he will vote in favour of the Ovation by liking a post made by Speaker Lloenflys in favour of the Ovation, he has not made a single comment on the matter and we are no longer comfortable in making a prediction without Senator Rotasu commenting on the matter himself.

Senator Olde Delaware has not said anything within the Senate regarding Darcness's Ovation since his original post where he stated that he was in favour of the Ovation. Since his original comments, much has changed regarding the Ovation and we therefore believe it is possible that Olde Delaware may have changed his opinion and until he either reaffirms his intention to vote "Aye" or announces that he will now by voting against, we are classifying Olde Delaware as an "Unkown" vote. Senator Darcness has remained in the "Abstain" category. Senator Sopo who was considered a "Lean Nay" vote has now firmly come out as a "Nay" vote, saying that he believed Senator Darcness's political work has not yet risen to the level required to be awarded an Ovation. He had previously made clear that he believed OOC work should not be awarded IC awards and therefore he would only be considering Darcness's IC political work for the Ovation.

The biggest development has been the change of opinion by Senators Prim and Peeps. Both were considered "Solid Aye" votes given their public comments within the Senate, however, both have now stated that they will oppose the Ovation. Senator Prim raised concerns that to award the Ovation would set a bad precedent and therefore he would vote no. He said that he hoped to see Darcness renominated in the future based solely on his political work. Senator Peeps said he been "swayed" and would be voting no. He made similar comments as Senator Prim saying he was "positive [Darcness's] ovation will come."
 
Breaking News: Senator Olde Delawere has now confirmed to Euro Weekly that he is an Aye vote, saying he has not commented in the Senate because his opinion has not changed. Our updated predictions are now below:

Predictions
Solid AyeLean AyeUnkownLean NayNay
Lloenflys
Calvin Coolidge
Olde Delawere
Deepest House
Rotasu
Sopo
Prim
Peeps
 
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Breaking News: Another major development. Shortly after the release of our updated predictions, Senator Peeps indicated to Euro Weekly that he was now leaning towards an Aye vote. He has now said on the Senate floor that he will vote in favour of awarding Darcness an Ovation. Therefore we are now updating our predictions once again.

Predictions
Solid AyeLean AyeUnkownLean NayNay
Lloenflys
Calvin Coolidge
Olde Delawere
Peeps
Deepest House
Rotasu
Sopo
Prim
 
All the breaking news ? Lightning-fast coverage and may I say those tables are looking beautiful!!

I guess Pichto's address-thing changed people's minds. Dax did in her end-of-term speech go briefly through Darc's political resumé, but the way she referred to his admin work as "where he's MOST notably served our region" took the focus off that and shifted the centre of the debate. I'm glad Pichto stepped in when he did; at least now a strong case for Darc's political work meriting him the Ovation is out there for fair consideration.
 
Breaking News: Senators Calvin Coolidge, Lloenflys, Peeps and crucially Senator Rotasu have all voted in favour of awarding Darcness an Ovation. Senator Sopo has voted against. While Senators Olde Delawere, Deepest House and Prim have still to vote, Euro Weekly is now projecting that the Senate will award Darcness an Ovation.
 
Breaking News: Senator Olde Delawere has voted in favour of awarding Darcness an Ovation. With five Senators having voted in favour, a majority of the Senate has voted in favour, the nomination will pass. This is Euro Weekly's final update of the night, thanks for reading.
 
Yep! Would love to see more of this for future votes and elections.
 
I agree. I can wade through the Senate forums all I want, but this clearly shows voting patterns and analyzes switches in votes and some of why they might have happened.

That's good knowledge for an electorate.
 
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