Presidential Election Poll - Results and Analysis

Xecrio

Europeia's Resident Psychic
Citizen
Pronouns
He/Him
4000 Words Header.png
On the 16th of February 2021, 4,000 Words conducted a poll that lasted approximately 30 hours, closing shortly after 11:00 GMT on the 17th of February 2021. The poll garnered a total of 36 responses and showcased the following. Firstly, respondents were asked to state who out of the three candidates they would be voting for on Friday. Secondly, respondents were asked to affirm their first response by indicating how likely they were to switch votes in the time that we have left. Poll-takers were then asked to evaluate each of the platforms, and highlight the key factors that make a good presidential candidate. This article will provide a brief overview and analysis, look at the poll results, and what this means for Europeia as we advance.

Forms response chart. Question title: Who will you be voting for in the upcoming Presidential election?. Number of responses: 36 responses.

Firstly, respondents were asked to indicate who they would vote for President and Vice President. The incumbent Pictonia received 38.9% of the vote, while his main challenger, Calvin Coolidge received 14 votes or 38.9% of the vote. Forilian, who can perhaps be seen as the underdog in this race garnered 16.7 % of the vote. Re-open elections only received two votes, so the elections' threat not concluding at the end of this week is unlikely. What is clear from these results is that this is not a closed race. There is ample time for all three candidates to cement themselves as the frontrunners in this election. Furthermore, there is approximately 40% outstanding of the remaining vote that may finally come in on Friday, meaning that these candidates have a chance, mostly via GOTVing those citizens that may not be as active as others.

Forms response chart. Question title: How sure are you about voting for your candidate?. Number of responses: 36 responses.

Concerning the first question, respondents were asked to highlight how sure they would be voting for their candidate. The results of this question reaffirm the point made in the previous paragraph. 36.1% of poll-takers stated that they were either unsure or very unsure that they would stick with voting for their candidate, while 63.9% said the opposite. Largely, the first question results are unlikely to change all that much in the couple of days we have left. However, a substantial amount of respondents indicated that they would potentially change their vote.

Forms response chart. Question title: How satisfied are you with the quality of Forilian/Monkey's platform?. Number of responses: 36 responses.
Forms response chart. Question title: How satisfied are you with Pichtonia/Kuramia's Platform?. Number of responses: 36 responses.
Forms response chart. Question title: How satisfied are you with Calvin Coolidge/Istillian's platform?. Number of responses: 34 responses.
The poll also asked respondents to state their personal opinion of the platforms. These questions were not required, due to Calvin Coolidge/Istillian's platform not yet being out when the poll opened, though the option to edit responses was available. To start, Forilian's platform achieved a satisfaction rate of 50%. While their platform receives a small majority of approval, an ample number of people are either unsure or dissatisfied with their platform's quality. Personally, I would attribute this percentage as being due to the heavy amount of executive reform that has been pumped into their platform, and likely their decision to turn the ministry of radio into an "independent ministry," though this has since been revoked.
Pichtonia and Kuramia are two very well respected Europeian's, and they've arguably had a good term, so one would expect their platform to be one of the best since they're fighting for re-election. Yet, pollsters do not view it this way. Like Forilian/Monkey's only garners, their platform is a small minority of 52.8% of people who stated that they were satisfied with their platform. Again, there are certain factors to this, and most likely the controversy over the raid of The Embassy perhaps played a part in their platform not achieving the satisfaction levels they may have hoped for.
Finally, Calvin Coolidge's platform reports back a 50% approval rating. It is important to note that since their platform was released late, there were many "unsure" voters. (38.2%) Calvin's decision to stand late may have proved to have been detrimental to their election chances. However, it could be interpreted that recent events and their ability to draft and publish a platform in only a couple of days, may have improved their election chances.

Forms response chart. Question title: What are the most important qualities in a candidate to you?. Number of responses: 36 responses.

Penultimately, respondents were asked to state what factors they view as being important in a presidential candidate. Platform quality (88.9%) and executive experience (86.1%) receive an overwhelming majority here, which is not surprising. The platform is generally the first thing voters see from the candidate, especially from less active voters. A platform should contain your plans and policies for the upcoming term and why they are the best policies. Executive experience is arguably significant. Every candidate has executive experience, some more than others, and it will be up to the electorate to determine who's executive experience and leadership enable them to be a successful President.

  1. Grandfather Clock
  2. #Nate/Dark for President 2021
  3. UPC, SkyGreen24, Seva, Darkslayer
  4. SkyGreen24
  5. Sopo, Monkey, Dark, CSP
  6. Why has Pichto not made a statement?
  7. CPS, UPC
  8. Darkslayer/UPC
  9. NES
  10. Nate, GC (lmao jk), Dark, Sopo

Finally, poll-takers were asked to state, if anyone would like to see run for President. The most notable mentions here are Darkslayer with 5 votes, and UPC with 3 votes. NES, Xecrio, SkyGreen24, GC, Sopo, Monkey, CSP, and Seva all received mentions here, too.

To conclude, this election is far from over. Although there may only be a couple of days left to campaign, those couple days will prove to be the catalyst in determining who is elected President and Vice President of Europeia next term. Therefore, at present, 4,000 Words is unable to provide a predictive outcome on the results of the election due to the results being so close.
 
Excellent work, Nate! The turnaround time on this was extremely speedy.

Best of luck to all of the candidates!
 
Back
Top