- Pronouns
- He/Him
A REAL POLLING CENTRE, ARNHELM- The ARN has some breaking news to report from the February 2021 Presidential Runoff Poll, fresh off the presses. There were 30 responses.
The responses here are no surprise; Calvin's percentage of the vote matches exactly with the election, while Pichtonia voters are slightly underrrepresented, probably due to the higher proportion of Forilian who voted in the poll.
This is where things get interesting. First, Forilian/Monkey voters split evenly for both tickets, with 2 going to Pichtonia and 2 going to Calvin. However, 3* Calvin voters also defected to the Pichtonia campaign, giving Pichtonia the lead. This is significantly different from the NSToday poll, which pointed to a 57-30 loss for Pichtonia. This may be attributed to two factors: 1) an increased GOTV effort from Pichtonia, or 2) the environmental factors that led to a loss in Pichtonia support, such as the situation in The Embassy, are starting to fade in the voters' minds. The author welcomes other opinions on why this may be the case.
Despite this, however, the ARN still projects the election as being too close to call. Even a minor GOTV effort from the Calvin campaign may be enough to reverse this trend, and the 30 responses in this poll is only half of the amount of voters who voted in the first round. It may be that the Calvin campaign simply has an advantage with the people who are less politically active, or those who are in the wrong timezones to take this poll, as this poll was open for around 7 hours only. But either way, the Calvin campaign should be worried.
*There has since been a correction from 2 to 3 voters defecting.
Despite this, however, the ARN still projects the election as being too close to call. Even a minor GOTV effort from the Calvin campaign may be enough to reverse this trend, and the 30 responses in this poll is only half of the amount of voters who voted in the first round. It may be that the Calvin campaign simply has an advantage with the people who are less politically active, or those who are in the wrong timezones to take this poll, as this poll was open for around 7 hours only. But either way, the Calvin campaign should be worried.
*There has since been a correction from 2 to 3 voters defecting.
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