Maowi Leads, But Xecrio Underrated in Close Race: Pre-Debate FM Poll Results

Calvin Coolidge

Spellcaster
Forum Administrator
Honoured Citizen
Citizen
In a poll of 20 Europeians, conducted over the last 24 hours, we find that the candidate shake-up since the beginning of the race has, as expected, shaken up the candidates' standings. Without further ado, here's our topline results.

How would you characterize your current candidate support in the race? said:
Strongly Xecrio/GraVandius - 15%
Lean Xecrio GraVandius - 25%
Strongly Maowi/Sopo - 25%
Lean Maowi/Sopo - 25%
Strongly cookiespaigentland/cuddles - 10%
Lean cookiespaigentland/cuddles - 0%
Undecided - 0%
Combining those numbers, we see the race currently looks like this: Maowi/Sopo at 50%, Xecrio/GraVandius at 40%, and cookiespaigentland/cuddles at 10%. As there were no undecideds, these numbers stay exactly the same for the follow-up question, asking voters to make a decision, if forced to vote today. The takeaways from this show that Maowi is definitely in the best position improving her support from 40% in the last poll from ENN, though just short of winning the 50% + 1 needed to avoid a runoff. Meanwhile, Xecrio has improved his ticket's standing by nearly double, compared to the last poll, which had him at only 18%. Finally cookiespaigentland will have to be content with playing spoiler, currently far out of contention.

Select all the tickets that you are considering voting for said:
Xecrio/GraVandius - 75%
Maowi/Sopo - 85%
cookiespaigentland/cuddles - 25%
Here we see that both of our top two are being considered by the vast majority of respondents, showing lots of room for potential growth. Unfortunately for cookiespaigentland, even if her ticket reached maximum support from all who were considering her, the ticket would come up short of a majority, at this current stage.

Are you currently satisfied with the field of candidates? said:
Very satisfied - 65%
Somewhat satisfied - 30%
Not satisfied - 5%
It seems that despite the exit of Dax from the race, the vast majority of respondents are still very satisfied with the field of candidates for First Minister.

Who do you think will win the First Minister election? said:
Xecrio/GraVandius - 10%
Maowi/Sopo - 75%
cookiespaigentland/cuddles - 15%
I thought this would be a fun question on confidence in the candidates, and I was right! Most respondents assume Maowi will win, which makes sense, given her current lead in the polls, yet there is a stunning lack of confidence from Xecrio's supporters, as he finds himself with less faith in his victory than cookiespaigentland, who actually has more people thinking her ticket will win than said they would be voting for her. Whether this underdog status will help or hurt Xecrio will be interesting to see as the race continues to develop.

  • eurochoice
  • EuroChoice plans, Executive Orders ;), Veto powers, gameside integration
  • EuroChoice, Culture Expansion, new Radio ideas
  • Recruitment, RMB activity/plans, how they will communicate with citizens, Deputy Minister focus
  • We should see more of a focus on integration efforts, keeping in mind Discord's expanding role and the perception that our forum's role is shrinking.
The most common issue people are looking out for is EuroChoice, followed by gameside integration.

In summary, Maowi's ticket finds itself in the best position, but Xecrio finds his ticket within striking distance of the lead, despite a lack of voter confidence. Thanks to all who have participated in the election process so far, and be sure to watch out for the upcoming debate on Wednesday! Until next time, this is Calvin Coolidge, looking over the field from his ivory tower.

Results, with graphs
 
Thanks for running this!
 
Good job with this poll!
 
very interesting results! ENN will be back in the field with another poll shortly too.
 
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