Election Polling Package Results

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Election Polling Package Results
Written By Charlie Young
Senior ENN Polling Analyst

The first and perhaps only round of ENN polling has concluded. With 23 responses, ENN has one of the most accurate reads of what is on voters minds.

When asked 'how are you planning on voting for the Presidential election at this time', 30.4% (7) indicated they were strongly supporting Carracalla. Compared to a stunningly similar 30.4% (7) who indicated that they strongly supported Oliver Grey.

What does this indicate? it shows that both campaigns have the exact same sized bases of people who are behind them through thick and thin. It's the leaners who are interesting:

8.7% (2) of those surveyed indicated that they were leaning toward voting for Carracalla.

17.4% (4) of those surveyed indicated that they were leaning toward voting for Oliver Grey.

So what's the end result in this area? Oliver Grey is leading by a tiny hair in this election, but it's statistically insignificant. The reason this should concern the Carracalla camp is how quickly Grey acquired a base of support. It's natural for people to gain support rapidly when there is a 'void' (or when only candidate is running), but Grey sprinted ahead of Carracalla without the debate, without doing much at all. Which shows many voters may have deeper concerns with the NCP's ticket.

When asked which party best reflects your beliefs, the interviewees said thus:

The National Conservative Party - 7
The Europeian Citizens' Centrist Party- 4
The Liberal Democratic Party - 12

This make sense with the conservatives: 7 people strongly support Caracalla, hence 7 people identify with his party. However, many more people identify with the Liberal Democratic Party than are strongly behind Grey. As a matter of fact, more people identify with the LDP than are behind Grey at all. This could potentially mean that Grey's voting base is more solid, but could also indicate weaknesses Grey has with people who would otherwise vote for his party. Could be good or bad.

This get's very interesting when we start to talk about trustworthiness. Falconias has been a spectacle of this election hence far, and voters are almost evenly split on whether he is trustworthy. When asked:

Very Trustworthy - 6
Sorta Trustworthy - 3
Maybe Trustworthy - 6
Sorta Not Trustworthy  - 4
Not at all Trustworthy - 4

Again, this number seems to make sense. 9 people voted that they were solidly or leaning toward Carracalla in the Presidential election, 9 people think Falconias is either 'Very' or 'Sorta' Trustworthy. The undecideds and the LDP seem split on Falconias' trustworthiness. Which could be ominous for Carracalla if some undecideds consider Falconias to not be trustworthy, and base their vote off of that. However, this is the first time polling has ever seen Falconias' trustworthy ranking higher than his untrustworthy one. Certainly a good sign for the NCP.

Numbers fly everywhere when we ask voters what they think of the Carracalla/Falconias ticket as a whole:

Very Trustworthy - 8
Sorta Trustworthy - 6
Maybe Trustworthy - 3
Sorta Not Trustworthy- 4
Not at all Trustworthy - 2

For all voters, Falconias weighs the ticket down. But people trust Falconias with Carracalla much more than without him. A resounding majority trust the Carracalla/Falconias ticket.

But when compared with Grey/HEM, things get icky.

Very Trustworthy - 14
Sorta Trustworthy - 4
Maybe Trustworthy - 5

Voters seem to have the utmost trust for Oliver Grey and HEM. Once again, the lower nine (sorta and maybe trustworthy) could correspond with the 9 people who support Caracalla. Or Not. You decide.

Some other numbers:

What is your opinion of President Common Sense Politics?

100 - 0
90 - 0
80 - 5
70 - 5
60 - 7
50 - 3
40 - 3
30 - 0
20 - 0
10 - 0
0 - 0

CSP sits on a 62% approval rating. A resounding note of appreciation from the public, to the Accidental President.

If CSP was on the ballot this election, who would you vote for?

Carracalla - 5
Oliver Grey - 9
Common Sense Politics - 3
Undecided- 6

That would have been an interesting election...
 
As a sidenote I didn't do the poll and I belief Falc didn't either....however I truly believe this will be a close race for both candidates
 
Nay, last time we got 19 responses.
 
Whoa, what? I wasn't even aware this polling package existed... who was polled?
:rolleyes: Come on, you've been around for elections, you know about HEM's million + threads in the Republica Square that ask election questions.
 
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