- Pronouns
- he / him / his
"DAX Leads In Crowded Pack Where Anything Can Still Happen"HEM
Managing Editor
According to ENN's first poll of the November 2019 First Minister election, DictatorAnna10 starts with a lead that is strong but far from unassailable.
In a race that is currently deeply cutting across demographical lines, every single ticket in the election still has a path to victory.
ENN POLL RESULTS | Nov 15 - Nov 16 | n=25
Definitely DictatorAnna10 / Istillian: 16%
Probably DictatorAnna10 / Istillian: 36%
Definitely Olde Delaware / Kuramia: 4%
Probably Olde Delaware / Kuramia: 8%
Definitely Calvin Coolidge / Rachael: 4%
Probably Calvin Coolidge / Rachael: 4%
Definitely Cuddles / Bowzin: 8%
Probably Cuddles / Bowzin: 0%
Truly Undecided: 20%
ENN POLL RESULTS - No Undecideds | Nov 15 - Nov 16 | n=25
DictatorAnna10 / Istillian: 56%
Olde Delaware / Kuramia: 12%
Calvin Coolidge / Rachael: 20%
Cuddles / Bowzin: 12%
"DAX is a newcomer on the rise, having built up a solid resume and a lot of solid support," ENN Opinions Editor Sopo opines. "Meanwhile, we have Calvin, a resurgent veteran member. He is within striking distance but needs to lock down his own base. Cuddles and OD also have respectable showings and could very well overtake Calvin for the number two spot in a likely runoff."
While DAX's current top-line result suggests she may have a chance of winning the election outright without a runoff, with so many candidates running it seems more likely than not that a second vote will be required for a candidate to reach a majority. That's why ENN also conducted head-to-head polls, asking respondents to respond to a variety of different runoff scenarios:
"I think this poll is useful because it tells us more of the story from the Arnhelm Review's poll. A lot of folks have yet to make up their mind, but we see especially in the head to heads that DAX has the advantage," Sopo says. "I wouldn't be surprised if OD outperforms the polls if he works the same GOTV magic. The case for cuddles is less clear. He's a newer member, but he's struggled to make a splash politically and is the true underdog. He's incredibly social and had experience in radio and culture which might help him win over less politically minded voters."
While DAX has the advantage, she also has weak spots. The overwhelming majority of her support is only "leaning" toward her, and the pool of undecided voters break hard for Calvin Coolidge. For more insight on the demographical trends and crosstabs of the poll, make sure to tune into EBC Radio at 4:00PM EST to hear the exciting details!